Tips of the day
Free daily picks from the Sport AInsights model — the same tips that go out to our Telegram channel and the app.
Serie AWon1:0
Atletico Paranaense
MirassolWhy this pick: Although Mirassol are considered a tough and competitive side and have already proven it more than once, I still lean toward another home victory here. The hosts look very confident when playing in front of their fans, while the visitors remain inconsistent, alternating wins with defeats.
Segunda DivisiónLost1:0
AD Ceuta FC
AlbaceteWhy this pick: Ceuta show decent home output, scoring regularly but also conceding at a steady rate, which makes their matches fairly open. Their mid-table position reflects overall stability without strong defensive control. Albacete arrive in excellent form with four consecutive wins and a clear improvement in attacking production, scoring multiple goals in recent matches and creating many chances. With no strong motivation pressure for either side, the game is more likely to be open and balanced, with both teams capable of contributing to the scoreline.
Premier LeagueLost0:1
Arsenal
Dinamo MinskWhy this pick: Despite two heavy defeats in a row — 0:3 against ML Vitebsk and 0:3 against Dinamo Brest — Arsenal’s performances were better than the scorelines suggest. Against ML Vitebsk, the reigning champions and current league leaders, Arsenal even looked stronger statistically at times. They also created chances against Brest but lacked finishing. Now they face Dinamo Minsk, a team that plays more openly and leaves spaces in defense. Dinamo have already conceded against weaker opponents this season and do not look as solid defensively as the previous two rivals. Arsenal play brave attacking football with an aggressive style and have already scored 12 goals in 9 matches, which is a solid number for a mid-table side. I believe they can finally score again here after two scoreless matches. Over 2.5 goals also looks like an interesting option.
Why this pick: Rodrigo Vera enters the UFC with an impressive record of 21 wins and just 1 loss. Time will tell how good he truly is at the highest level. Personally, I do not think he will become a top UFC contender, as I still have questions about the overall level of his skill set. He is a versatile fighter with both grappling and striking, but it remains unclear how effective those tools will be against elite competition. Nevertheless, we feel confident backing him in this particular matchup. The Chinese fighter simply does not appear to be on the same level in terms of overall ability. Vera should have the edge both on the feet and in wrestling exchanges, likely controlling the fight and winning on points.
The rest of today’s picks are in the app
We publish one pick a day here in full. The whole list, with the odds and the model’s reasoning for every match, opens in the Sport AInsights app.
Tips are model output for information only, not financial advice. Bet responsibly, 18+.